Qatar’s political intransigence has reached a critical stage recently that has reduced the options available to Doha in its policies and relations with the regional and world powers. The regime there has no option but to fall or to surrender and comply with the demands of the Arab quartet under the weight of mysterious circumstances which have turned into a virus that is consuming the Qatari state from within.
After suffering severe crises, the Qatari regime has realized that abandoning its Arab and Gulf surrounding and resorting to the Turkish and Iranian quagmire has been a strategic mistake, Doha is now bearing its negative repercussions on the political, economic and security levels and that this mistake poses a direct threat to the national security of Qatar after unveiling the real intentions and objectives of the Iranians and Turks in supporting Doha in its crisis with the Arab countries.
The Qatari regime has turned into a beggar for supportive positions from all countries in the world, using Doha’s huge funds it has gained from selling gas to buy brief loyalties and neutrality, offering concessions to Tehran and Ankara for military and security support. The result was that Qatar has become one of the most isolated countries in the world on the political and even economic levels.
Qatar’s inevitable return to its sense and abandoning obstinacy and the cling to its terrorist acts requires courage and transparency. Qatar needs to reconsider its decisions taking into consideration the interests of the Qatari people and their security as well as an honest conduct with the wealth of this rich country which neither this regime nor anyone else should scatter it through supporting terrorism and extremist groups here and there, or by allowing colonial powers with expansionist objectives to use its territory and opening a wide door in the Gulf side, thus endangering the national security of the Gulf and the Arab states. The countries, that Qatar regards today as friends and is forced to stand fully on its side and support all its decisions, regardless of whether Qatar sees this right or that these decisions are in its interest at present or in the future; are in fact, day after day become colonial countries that control the decision-making circles in Qatar.
In addition, situation in Qatar has reached its worse stage ever as all social and economic reports indicate the huge collapse of Qatar’s economy, and that the public rejection of the policies of the regime has reached its climax because of the personal and irresponsible behavior stemming from individual interests and psychological problems, and desires to expand at the expense of the Gulf region, which is the strategic depth of the Qatari society, which cannot easily be separated from. The ties between the people of the Gulf do not relate to the borders or the names of the countries. There are deeper ties that unite the people of the Arabian Gulf from the interlinkages between the tribes to a social reality that is economically and politically intertwined.
While Qatar keeps struggling and suffering from the effects of the Gulf and Arab boycott, its crisis no longer has the attention of the boycotting countries and it has been put aside, leaving Qatar grappling with the consequences of its policies, and harvesting their thorns with bare hands.
After the Qatari regime’s struggle to survive its inevitable fall, it started to flop, and turned completely into like a slaughtered bird that does not know where to turn. Therefore, it committed an international felony by jeopardizing Emirates’ civil aviation and the aim is to regain some attention from the boycotting countries toward the Qatari crisis.
The Qatari regime began its gamble by spreading rumors to draw attention to its crisis, which researchers see as a proof for the Qatari desire to solve its crisis, as it can no longer afford the negative effects of the boycott and it is now seeking to resolve the issue before it is forgotten. Qatar then lodged a complaint with the UN about an alleged violation of its airspace by an Emirati military plane, thinking that this can prepare the international community for its next step of endangering the safety of Emirati civil aviation. However, that propaganda soon became apparent and the Security Council paid no attention for it because of its illegality and the absence of any evidence to prove it.
The position of the UAE leadership towards these provocations was quite different. It directed against any escalation of the situation and ordered to use safer air routes above Saudi Arabia in order to preserve the lives of the air crews working on the civil or military aircrafts, and to preserve the lives of peoples, peace and the regional stability, and not to drag the region into military clashes that bring devastation and destruction.
Air force Brigadier General Helal Saeed al-Qubaisi told reporters at a news conference in the capital Abu Dhabi that “The government of Qatar is not aware of the seriousness of its actions and its dire consequences that could lead to an armed clash.” The wise leadership of the UAE recognizes this danger and will not allow the Qatari regime, that has reached its end, to take the whole region into crises and problems and will take all international legal measures to stop these Qatari practices.
Hence, there is a great difference between the Emirati wisdom in making decisions and the Qatari recklessness and the hasty decisions of Doha, which always leads to exacerbate its internal and external crises.
Al Mezmaah Studies & Research Centre
28 January 2018