For years, the United States has been so vocal about the possibility of using military options against Iran. Every new administration, like its predecessor, threatens to use this option until this has become a naïve play with one conclusion that Iran is retaining more pressure and threat cards and more regional expansion tools, thanks to the American inaction. Iran has even reached the stage of having a nuclear program by which it entered a dialogue with the West, which has led to the fragile deal that Trump is currently threatening to withdraw from, even though the withdrawal step, if it occurs, will only entail for further negotiations. Even before the conclusion of the Nuclear Deal, the American threats to curb Tehran’s ambitions were no more than twaddle and empty talks for media consumption and the frequent recurrence of these threats has made them prosaic and unreliable news for the analysts to build upon their prospective thoughts of possible moves against Iran to limit its destructive behavior.
There is ample evidence that America has a vital interest in the survival of the current Iranian regime. The best example of this is the Iranian role in supporting the Americans in Iraq. It is no secret that the allies of Iran and its agents began to work in the Iraqi arena in conjunction with the US occupation of Iraq, until the moment when Iraq became a backyard for Iran and its extreme sectarian groups.
Iran contributed to the US blockade of Iraq before the US invasion. After the US forces entered Iraq, there was no clash whatsoever with the Iranians or with their militias along the Iraqi arena. At a later stage, US air forces supported pro-Iranian militias of the “Popular Mobilization Forces” under the guise of fighting terrorism. And now the elections are being used to legitimize the most extreme sectarian organizations in Iraq, which was destroyed by America and handed over to Iran.
In order to understand the relationship between the mullahs’ regime and Washington, one has to go back a bit, specifically to the perspective that prompted the Americans to benefit from the Wali al-Faqih regime, despite the artificial animosity between them.
The secret lies in the sectarian formation of the Iranian regime, with its stock of fanaticism, the readiness for conflicts and exporting chaos to the Muslim community. These ideological beliefs which justify violence and sectarianism have been welcomed by some American circles that continue to rely on Western Orientalist legacies, which started since the colonial campaigns to the East, and attempted to understand the factors of division, unity and all that relate to colonies, their strengths and weaknesses, and the appropriate tools to control it. Therefore, supporters of this trend did not find much better than the Iranian regime to spread chaos and sectarian wars in the region.
That conclusion does not fall within the conspiracy theory, because it is supported with statements by elite American figures who contribute to shaping future strategies. Let us take for instance, US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger and his position on Tehran regime, he says in one of the video recordings: “As long as Iran is ruled by Ayatollah and its rules are based on sectarian bases, we have to be careful, but Iran is essentially a natural ally of the United States.” In other words, the sectarian Iranian regime, which is constantly troubling the region, serves the United States in several ways, most notably ensuring the security of the Israeli ally, avoiding a final solution to the conflict and keeping the Middle East in a state of non-peace and non-war.
In an overview of the hot spots that Iran is contributing in igniting them by military and media tools, it can be seen that the American side is pleased with its media statements that do not turn into actions on the ground that stand against Iran’s interventions. Although some applauded the rise of Trump and predicted that he would be tougher towards Iran, US policy toward the Iranian behavior has not changed from being manipulative and has not dealt with it seriously until now!
Al Mezmaah Studies & Research Centre
8 May 2018