After nearly a year on the Gulf crisis, which was deliberately instigated by the Qatari regime, and through the studies and research carried out by experts and observers, which highlighted the crisis and made its events clearer, it can be said that the end has become much closer after the facts and information emerged that Qatar is on the verge of economic and financial collapse, and it is suffering because of the international isolation. If Qatar continues its current approach of supporting terrorism and backing Iran, the imposition of international sanctions is the most likely scenario to date.
Experts have estimated from the beginning that this crisis will not last more than eighteen months. So far, events and developments confirm that this estimation was very accurate, after its repercussions started to hit first the financial system of Qatar and increase the isolation of the regime internationally and regionally, and signs of resentment by Europeans and Americans towards the Qatari behavior became bigger, especially after the Revolutionary Guard and the Muslim Brotherhood seized control of Doha’s political decision.
After nearly a year of the crisis, Qatar has lost around $ 200 billion due to the halted trade exchange with the Gulf states, the depreciation of its currency against the dollar, the departure of capitals and investments, the squandering of billions of dollars to buy support for its positions from some European countries, the funding for terrorist groups in the region to hit the security and stability of the boycotting countries, and many other money exhaustions that the Qatari regime has been embroiled by its arrogance and stubbornness. Doha has become a hostage to Iran and the Muslim Brotherhood and the Qatari Sheikh has lost control over many sovereign decisions regarding Qatar’s foreign relations as well as interior management. Doha is also about to lose its Western friends, especially the United States, which has begun to change its stance towards Qatar and started to think of conducting tougher policy that could lead to harsh sanctions like Iran.
It is also noticeable that the Arab and international public opinion has changed significantly towards the Qatari crisis and becomes aware of the extent of sabotage and losses suffered by the peoples of the region due to the Qatari policies. Most of the Arab and even global peoples are currently demanding the elimination of the Qatari regime in any mean, because its continuation would mean more terrorism, sabotage, fighting, insecurity and instability, and its presence would pose an obstacle to the process of combating terrorism in the region and drying up its sources.
Several Arab and international media have adopted an awareness-raising campaign in which evidence and documents revealed the dangers of the Qatari policy to the security of the region and how Qatar continues to support terrorism and destabilize Arab countries. In addition, the Qatari opposition’s scope has increased at home and abroad and achieved impressive results in terms of attracting a number of Qataris who expressed their support for the idea of salvation from the regime, although their stances have mostly remained secret for fear of their lives and the lives of their families.
Embracing Iran with the aim of easing its isolation and gaining support in facing the crisis was Qatar’s biggest and most fatal mistake by which Doha suffered losses in all political, economic and security fields. The Qatari calculations were based on the wrong foundations and a short perspective following the conclusion of the Nuclear Deal with Iran and lifting sanctions on it, as Qatar were caught in surprise after the withdrawal of the United States from the Nuclear Deal and announcing the return of tightened sanctions on Tehran. Iran, therefore, has turned into a political, economic and security burden on Qatar rather than being a supporter and backer.
At the beginning of the crisis, all conferences, studies and specialized reports used to focus on the causes of this crisis and its implications. Today, however, all these tend to study the near outcomes of this crisis which all have concluded that the only solution to it is by the elimination of the Qatari regime, which is apparently on its way to collapse without any external intervention!
Al Mezmaah Studies & Research Centre
17 May 2018