Arab and Islamic nations have never forgotten the Persian ambitions in the region since the rivalry of the Romans and Persians until our current time, especially with the advent of the mullahs and the establishment of the radical rule in Tehran in 1979, forty years ago, which is the most period in which the region witnessed conflicts, wars and strife, thanks to the Iranian regime which had a direct role in igniting some sectarian strife, crises and wars, and indirect one in igniting many others.
In order to achieve its ambitions in other countries, Iran is working on two basic approaches. First, it uses soft power and other diplomatic, security and intelligence tools to control the minds of decision-makers, influence local public opinion and penetrate the most important state institutions, as is the case with Qatar. And second: by spreading chaos, destruction, sectarianism and wars and the establishment of loyal groups and military bases to weaken the target countries as a key to pass its agendas. Iran may need both ways in some countries, as in Iraq, Syria, Yemen and Lebanon.
Iranian officials’ statements and what the local Iranian press says on the Qatari issue tell us that Tehran now looks at Qatar as a Qatar-stan, i.e. as one of Iran’s provinces, and to the Qatari Emir as an Iranian mayor of this Qatar-stan. These statements and the way Iran treats Qatar, in addition to the volume of media coordination between them and the convergence of positions towards regional and global files, show that the Iranian regime has indeed succeeded in achieving its ambitions in Qatar, and has been able to impose its policies on Doha and transform it to a tool to be used in the front line against the Arab and Islamic nation.
Over the past years, Iran has managed its expansionist plans in the region by using the Qatari tool. These included information, espionage, intelligence, culture, and other areas. Iranian Revolutionary Guards has also run intellectual rooms to support terrorist activities, promote Iran’s policies in the region to distort the image of Arab countries that stand against the mullahs’ destructive projects, led by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. The volume of bilateral conspiracy between Iran and Qatar has increased after boycotting the latter by the Arab countries and announcing an end to the destructive behavior of Iran in the region. In contrast, the efforts of regional and global countries in support of the fight against terrorism have thwarted many of the Iranian-Qatari joint plans aimed at destabilizing the region’s security and stability.
The fallacy lies in saying that Qatar has resorted to Iran after the boycott, an idea promoted by the Qatari regime in the region. However, the truth is that the relations between Tehran and Doha before and after the boycott were at the same level of coordination and conspiracy, but the boycott exposed this relation and transferred These conspiracies and relations from secrecy to public, because boycott’s most important reasons were the Qatari relations with Iran and their conspiracy against the Arab countries, especially the Gulf ones.
Now the Iranian regime stands on the brink of inevitable collapse, after dragging the people and the country into crises and calamities that cannot be overcome for decades. It is suffering from serious financial and economic crises that threaten to disintegrate the governmental and private institutions and living problems that the Iranian citizen has become unable to bear. Externally, Iran is suffering a political isolation and economic sanctions, which is tightening day by day, with military movements mobilized by the United States in the region in anticipation of any rashness or mistake Iran may commit!
The greatest danger is the Iranian plan to involve Qatar in any military confrontation that may occur between the United States and Iran, or in any proxy war Iran might wage in any Arab country, as well as using it to carry out military and security terrorist operations against the interests of some Arab countries Especially Saudi Arabia and the UAE in the event of any military confrontation in the region or in case Tehran has become subjected to further isolation and sanctions, especially with the American insistence on halting Iranian oil exports.
Al Mezmaah Studies & Research Centre
May 28, 2019