Since its accession to power in 1979, the current Iranian regime has sought to form alliances with sectarian and extremist armed groups after failing to form any alliance with existing states that practice politics under the umbrella of international law and UN treaties. This regime has succeeded indeed in forming an alliance with armed groups and political parties’ hostile to the governments and regimes in the region after turning them, by using its sick ideology, into a tool to destabilize the region and to threaten the regimes and governments and influence their policies in a way that serves the Iranian project in the region.

The Iranian regime has gone far in cooperating with terrorist groups after the spread of chaos in the Arab countries after 2011, where it strengthened its relations with Muslim Brotherhood groups everywhere and terrorist groups in Arab countries such as Hezbollah in Lebanon, Houthis in Yemen and sectarian militias in Iraq. It increased its control over them through the restoration of links between Tehran and the leaders of these terrorist groups through the engineer of terrorism Qasem Soleimani, commander of the terrorist Quds Force, the external arm of the Revolutionary Guard and the Iranian regime, as well as increasing Iran’s annual budget that supports terrorism and extremist groups in the region’s.

Since the hardliner Mahmoud Ahmadinejad became president in 2005, and the resulting consensus of Iranian visions towards supporting terrorism and expanding its regional reach, Iran’s funding for terrorism has increased significantly, terrorist and sabotage activities have increased, and the chaos in the region has multiplied, and a number of terrorism’s supporters openly met to form of another alliance that can support the alliance of terrorist groups, i.e. the Iranian-Qatari-Turkish one.

It is estimated that Iran has increased its support for terrorism significantly since 2005. Some reports confirm that Iran annually supports terrorism with more than $15 billion, which mostly go for weapons, salaries, sponsoring media outlets, espionage networks, assassinations … and others. While some reports confirm that Iran has supported terrorism with much more to reach $800 billion since 2005 until now.

Despite Tehran’s wide alliances with terrorist groups and regimes and the huge sums it spent on them, which was a reason for its internal and external crises, however, Iran now has begun to reap the thorns it planted. This coalition is gradually collapsing after its projects failed in several directions and the Iranian regime reached the brink of collapse. However, the expected actions, and the reaction of this alliance to the US sanctions, remains the most important issue in the meantime. There is no doubt that there are intentions and plans are expected from the members of this alliance, consisting of the Iranian regime and its tools, the Qatari regime and Erdogan’s team in Turkey, in the coming days to protect itself from the fall.

It is likely that there will be a plan to carry out operations similar to the 9/11 events in America, Europe or countries of the region in order to distract the world, obfuscate the issues and threaten the governments that fight terrorism with all their strength to give a new breather to the regimes and groups supporting terrorism; or to carry out massacres against civilians in Yemen in order to blame the countries that are active in the fight against terrorism in these areas; or pushing the terrorist groups to target the interests of these countries in the region and posing a threat to their national security and foreign trade, which requires international and regional vigilance to any terrorist reaction by this alliance.

Al Mezmaah Studies & Research Centre

17 September  2018