The Qatari regime is currently making a huge mistake by linking its crisis with the Arab and Gulf states, which is a crisis that is opened for possible solutions and compromises, with Iran’s conflict with the Arab and Islamic countries, which is considered an existential struggle as long as the current regime remains in power, which has put a constitution for the country emphasizes in many of its sections, especially articles 12, 144, 152 and 154, that the continuity of the current regime is based mainly on “sectarianism” and that the only sect that is recognized in Iran is the Shiite one. This regime has also intervened in the affairs of the region under the cover of supporting the oppressed and vulnerable, which is a legal duty stipulated by the Iranian Constitution.

The Qatari regime by doing so has thus set itself in dilemmas which are not easy to predict their outcomes. It is so foolish to link the destiny of Qatar, as a state and people, with the fate of the conflict between Iran and the Arab and Islamic countries, which will expose Qatar to systematic depletion by a greedy Iran, and not to mention the international, regional and Arab isolation. There is not much better example of Qatar losses than mentioning Qatar’s loss of 40% of its regional and global political role, 50% of its economic power and, most important of all, the alienation of the Arab peoples from Doha and its leaders since the beginning of the current Gulf crisis.

One of the axioms of this suspicious relationship between the two countries is the size of the financial benefits that the Iranian regime and the Revolutionary Guard are depleting from the Qatari treasury, its gas projects and investment networks, as well as exploiting its political, security and media tools to serve the expansionist Iranian project in the region and turning it into an espionage and sabotage center targeting Arab countries, especially the Gulf ones.

The Qatari regime is so reckless to the extent that it has linked its fate to the fate of the Iranian regime, which in turn is living in a deep international isolation and suffers from severe political and economic crises, which all indicate that this regime is going to collapse, as all the studies that examined the future of the Iranian situation, especially after the tightening of the sanctions and the outbreak of hundreds of popular demonstrations, confirm that the Iranian regime is in a state of disintegration and collapse and cannot be saved. This means that the Qatari regime, which has recently become a pillar of the Iranian regime, will also face the same fate.

Therefore, the deterioration of the political and economic situation in Iran is what worries the symbols and leaders of the Qatari regime at the present time, who are no longer aware of the extent of the damage inflicted on the Arab countries and their people as a result of their policies and support for Iranian activities and movements and the extent of their service to Iran in carrying out its hostile agenda against Arab and Islamic countries.

In fact, the main reason for this suspicious relationship is the political mentality of the symbols of the Qatari regime, who become convinced that they are not concerned with the security of the Arab states and peoples, that if they were concerned before, but the difference is that they are openly declaring this. On the other hand, they regard their hostility to the Arab regimes, especially the Gulf ones, as a reason to protect their national security and confronting the efforts of the Arab coalition led by Saudi Arabia and the UAE to combat terrorism is their priority and that resorting to Iran is one of the tools of this confrontation, as the empowerment of security and stability in the region will be a threat to the Qatari influence that is based primarily on the spread of chaos and terrorism, a trick Tehran was able to plant and establish in the minds of the Qatari leaders, and is the way through which Tehran can move Qatar’s policies and activities in the region.

Al Mezmaah Studies & Research Centre

March 3, 2019