Iran cannot intervene in any country unless it uses a special type of backward sectarian groups that belong to the pre-state types and have no much difference with the Iranian regime itself and agree to work under its supervision. On the contrary, modern political groups, which surpass the primitive sectarian form, view Iran as a closed state with no hope to be an ideological destination for political clusters that respect the human mind.
Whenever Iran intervenes through its agents in any country, it leaves it ruined and destructed. This means that sectarian ideologies will not last forever. Such reality spoils Iran’s hope, because it cannot extend its influence and spread its myths unless it provided a doctrinal and sectarian cover, and with sectarian and closed groups, that go out in demonstrations or fight to build the system of the (no-state), as happens in Yemen. While an increased awareness of the Iranian threat and the importance of adhering to a trans-sectarian identity will the cease the opportunity for the sectarian mind to continue in the future since the fate of the Arab Shiite groups is inevitably linked to the fate and development of the awareness of citizenship and the quest to build a modern state. As evidenced by the fact that the smaller sectarian identities usually disappear and dissolve in the grand identity when the state is present with all its pillars of power, constitution and secular laws.
Moreover, the horrific and bloody experiences of the political Islam, with both parties Shi’ites and Sunnis, have affected the peoples’ minds and pushed them to adhere to the principle of state monopoly over violence and this is one of the current definitions of the concept of the state, according to thinker Abdullah al-Arawi. The intention of this is that the State is solely empowered to possess arms and to build and organize an army. Therefore, it is not possible to prevent religious gangs from spreading and expanding, except by believing in the importance of the state imposing its authority and legitimacy and its full responsibility to protect all its citizens.
In the Arab region, we have many examples that reveal that destruction is the only fruit that can be conferred by sectarian forces and their proxy wars. While the importance of a nation with an inclusive national agenda has been strengthened among peoples, away from the nation of sects and superstition.
If the regime of Vilayat-e Faqih claims to be forming a state, the arms and agents that it uses in more than one place can only thrive in the absence of a state representing all citizens. This is further evidence that walking behind pro-Iranian groups and militias would inevitably lead to the fragmentation of the national identity which is the only one that represents the peoples of the multicultural backgrounds.
The political system in Iran has become old and worn out, even for the Iranians themselves, despite that it has been only 40 years since the Khomeini’s revolution. This is because the clerics were more concerned in turning the revolution into a mean that forces the people to serve their interests rather than making the revolution and the regime that came after it to serve the people. Therefore, the rejection among the new Iranian generations to the old Iran, which has been defeated from within, increases their dream of a better future, which is no less ambitious and free than other peoples’ one.
The same applies to Iran’s external interventions but media did not shed enough light on the demonstrations of the young Shiites in Iraq, where Iran believes that it enjoys acceptance and popularity there, because of what it has there of sectarian and military loyalists.
Southern Iraq demonstrations against Iran in 2018 and against the pro-Iranian ruling Iraqi political elite were the most significant indicator that Iran’s armed sectarian agents would not last for long. Similarly, the Iranian presence in Bahrain seems dim as new generations, whether Shiites of Iraq, Lebanon or Bahrain, are becoming more aware, and their tendency for more sense of belonging to a larger cultures and identity have become much bigger than any tendency toward any sectarian identity.
In the end, no one will continue to fight on behalf of the Wali al-Faqih, who steals the Iranians’ wealth, and then call on them to face global sanctions, while hoarding money and cursing those whom he describes as arrogant. In fact, the worst arrogance and deception practiced against the Iranians comes from those who rule in the name of the religion. As for the Arab countries that Iran is trying to tamper with its security and spread chaos and trying to take them to the stage of the “no-state,” have learned the lesson and it has been proved to the peoples that the attempts to control minds with superstitions and myth is no less dangerous than destroying countries and colonizing them directly.
Al Mezmaah Studies & Research Centre
April 3, 2019