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The successive crises that the Qatari regime has faced recently have caused great changes on the Qatari interior because of the severe losses Qatar has suffered both internally and externally due to the policies of its regime which harmed the state, the people and the security and stability of the entire region. The crises that hit Doha have become like a growing snowball due to regional developments, especially in Sudan and Libya, and the successive resolutions in the region regarding confronting terrorism, especially the Washington decision to place the Revolutionary Guards on the terrorism list.

The recent events in Sudan and Libya, which resulted in the fall of Qatar’s allies in Sudan and the weakening of its terrorist agents in Libya, despite the billions Doha has spent in supporting and funding them, have confused the calculations of the Qatari regime’s symbols and created unprecedented divisions and disagreements among them which led to the rise of voices within the country that call for an end to the tampering policies and the acceptance of the Arab Quartet demands immediately and returning to the Arab ranks and the Gulf body before it is too late.

Ousting the Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir was in fact a painful blow to the Qatari regime, the Doha, Ankara and Tehran regional projects, a new defeat for the Muslim Brotherhood in the region and a failure to the Qatari and Turkish agendas in this Arab country, which have cost the Qatari treasury hundreds of billions spent for the realization of long-term Ikhwani projects under the guise of development, investment, aid and many others. Despite attempts by al-Bashir to maintain one distance from all sides of the Gulf – Qatar crisis since May 2017, however, him and his party were considered one of the most important allies to the Qatari regime, as he has opened the way for the activities and interventions of the country and Turkey to penetrate Sudan and the rest of Africa, as well as Qatar interventions in neighboring countries in order to form pro-Doha gangs and groups that pose a threat to Arab national security to serve the interests of the Muslim Brotherhood and threaten the interests of the countries that combat terrorism in the region.

With this loud fall of the Muslim Brotherhood, Qatar and Turkey in Sudan, voices inside Sudan have increased on both official and popular levels calling for the expulsion of Qatar, Turkey and the rest of the Brotherhood from their country and thwarting their plans as well as ending the ambitions of Qatar and Erdogan in their country through the restoration of the Sudanese island of Sawakin on the Red Sea, which was approved by Bashir that Turkey takes on its reconstruction and administration for an unidentified period, through a scheme aimed at the exploitation of Sudanese territory militarily and economically to serve the Ikhwani project in the region.

Meanwhile, the Libyan army led by General Khalifa Haftar launched a fierce war against the forces of the National Reconciliation Government, which runs the Brotherhood project in Libya and is supported by Qatar and Turkey, so the collapse of the Brotherhood in Sudan which coincides with the retreat of their forces in Libya, has been a painful blow to the Qatari regime at the political and economic levels internally, regionally and globally.

A third painful blow the Qatari regime has suffered recently after the American decision to put the Revolutionary Guards and all its institutions, companies and symbols on the list of terrorism, which has formed another crisis with its own implications on the Qatari interior in economic and security, as the Revolutionary Guards establishment, which dominates more than 70% of the Iranian economy, has been an important outlet for the Qatari regime to counter many economic and security crises following the boycott of the Arab States to Doha because of its subversive and terrorist activities. Now Doha is expected to face severe US sanctions if it continues its dealings and economic and trade relations with the Revolutionary Guards, signaling a near-collapse of the Qatari economy as an inevitable consequence of the continuous crises Doha is going through.

Al Mezmaah Studies & Research Centre

April 21, 2019

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